Here's a quick update on Karen...
It's a strong tropical storms with winds at 65 mph as of the mid afternoon update. It will likely become a hurricane as it enters the central gulf, then make landfall as a tropical storm sometime Sunday morning around the Florida panhandle or toward the MS/AL coasts.
Take a look at the attached image... each line indicates a different model forecast track. They show a spread of landfalls, but most of them curve the storm in our direction.
Regardless of where exactly it makes landfall, it is expected to drift north and bring us TONS of moisture! It would likely be a tropical depression as it moves into the Carolinas. If it takes the track that NHC is predicting, we would be spared the widespread severe weather threat, but we would still get the HEAVY rain. Here's the bottom line for us right now:
- We stay mostly dry from now through Sunday afternoon.
- Showers will move in from the west and south late day Sunday into the evening.
- Heavy rain will fall through Sunday night. Isolated severe storms possible.
- Early Monday will be rainy, then we should slowly clear by Monday evening.
- 2-4 inches looks likely if the track remains unchanged.
However, a lot can change between now and then, so keep up with the forecast! Some flooding could occur during Sunday night as some torrential downpours push through.
Nicole and I are on top of the forecast, and will be in through the weekend covering the landfall and progression of Karen! Stay with us and we'll keep you up to date!