Teen summer job competition could be intense - WNEM TV 5

Teen summer job competition could be intense

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The Michigan Department of Technology, Management & Budget has released its summer (June– August) teen employment forecast for 2016. While the Michigan labor market has continued to improve, competition for available jobs remains high.

As a result, the teen labor market situation will likely remain highly competitive during the summer of 2016. Securing a summer job is often a challenge for many teens, even in the best of labor market conditions. This year, as in previous years, teens will likely face the traditional competition from their peers as well as additional competition from adults for available jobs.

This additional layer of competition from older workers and other factors such as an increased emphasis on scholastic achievement may be partially responsible for the decline in labor force attachment among teens since the early part of the last decade. Historically, the labor force attachment of Michigan teens has been significantly higher than the national average both on an annual basis and during the summer months. This was particularly true until the economic downturn at the start of the last decade.

Since the 2001 national recession, however, teen labor force participation in general has steadily declined and the gap in labor force participation between Michigan teens and the national average has narrowed. Starting in 2011 this downward trend appears to have stabilized both in Michigan and nationally. While teen summer labor force participation has remained relatively constant nationally over the past several years it has moved modestly higher in Michigan during 2014 and 2015.

Recent labor market indicators on Michigan teen labor force attachment indicate this upward trend is continuing. During the summer of 2016 (June-August), the recent trend of a declining jobless rate for teens is expected to continue. The Michigan teen summer jobless rate is projected at 17.5 percent, which is 1.2 percentage points below the summer 2015 rate. The summer teen workforce is estimated at about 282,300, and approximately 233,000 teens are expected to find summer jobs.

Despite this expected improvement in the summer youth jobless rate, however, the number of unemployed teens is forecast to be approximately 49,400. 

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