Fall is in the forecast, but will it stick around? - WNEM TV 5

First Warn 5

Fall is in the forecast, but will it stick around?

Posted: Updated:
6 - 10 day CPC outlook. 6 - 10 day CPC outlook.
8 - 14 day CPC outlook. 8 - 14 day CPC outlook.
1 month CPC outlook. 1 month CPC outlook.
3 month CPC outlook. 3 month CPC outlook.
(Source: WNEM) (Source: WNEM)

With temperatures in the latest forecast dropping as low as the upper 60s for highs over the next week, many are starting to wonder if fall is making its way into mid-Michigan. The question then becomes, will it stay?

What do the numbers say?

The average high for this time of the year is 75 in Saginaw, with an average low of 53. When the numbers are supposed to be this mild, it is not hard to see that we have continued to stay above average. That will change this week, as our temps fall more in line with where they should be this time of the year, and even a bit lower. 

As for whether or not we can hold onto this trend, I would say it looks doubtful. Long range forecasting is anything but an exact science, but the general trend beyond this week looks to again push temperatures into the upper 70s to low 80s for mid-Michigan. This puts us back above average, keeping on track with a year that has spent most of the summer warmer than normal. 

It is not just the usual weather models predicting warmer weather either. The NOAA Climate Prediction Center forecasts for the next 6-10 days, 8-14 days, 1 month, and 3 months all list most of, if not all of Michigan as likely to see temperatures above average. 

That being said, enjoy the cooler weather while we have it, and give that AC a break this week. Warmer weather is probable to return, and you can always count on the First Warn 5 team to have the latest weather information and details as soon as soon as the data is there to analyze. 

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